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SF Mayor election

 
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Part of Fortune



Joined: 29 May 2017
Posts: 203

Posted: Tue Jun 05, 2018 7:12 pm    Post subject: SF Mayor election Reply with quote

.

Hello Forum,

Today is California election day and I erected a chart for the San Francisco Mayor race.

I placed Mark Leno in 1st house and London Breed in 7th house. My prediction is Leno will win. Venus in radix 10th, Cancer at MC. There's mix reception between Venus and the Moon tonight when the polls close at 8pm (Pacific time).

Look at the Saturn's exact conjunction at 7*27' Capricorn with IC (that's Breed's turned 10th) I wonder if Saturn here represents so called "Super PAC" (huge donations to Breed from big industries, such as real estate developers). I will post the result later.


Date: Mo., 4 June 2018 at 2:49 PM
San Francisco, CA (US)


http://tinypic.com/r/29p92dj/9




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Part of Fortune



Joined: 29 May 2017
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Posted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 5:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

From our local news station, KCBS at 9:40PM

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Early returns show business community favorite London Breed leading in the race for San Francisco mayor, with more liberal Democrats Mark Leno and Jane Kim trailing in second and third place.

London Breed had about 36 percent of the vote with about 80,000 ballots counted.

Mark Leno was in second place with 27 percent and Supervisor Jane Kim had 18 percent.

The city has a flourishing economy led by the tech industry, but it’s also plagued by rampant homelessness. It is the city’s first competitive race for mayor in 15 years.
San Francisco uses an unusual ranked-choice voting system in which voters select their top-three favorites.
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 1:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

June 5, 2018 at 10:32 pm from our local news station, KCBS:


SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — While early returns showed business community favorite London Breed leading in the race for San Francisco mayor, more liberal Democrat Mark Leno appeared to be closing in early Wednesday.

After at first showing a strong second place with Jane Kim trailing in third, Leno reportedly picked up enough second-place ranked choice votes to narrow Breed’s lead to a dead heat.
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Part of Fortune



Joined: 29 May 2017
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Posted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 4:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

June 6, 2018 at 7:30 am from our local news station, KCBS.

Former state Sen. Mark Leno holding a narrow lead early Wednesday morning with 50.42 percent of the vote compared to 49.58 percent for Breed with more ballots yet to count.
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 3:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

.


The latest results are here (the real results won’t be known for several days because of our ranked choice voting).


KPIX 5 LATEST:

Mayor - San Francisco - Special General
100 % Precincts Reporting Jun. 06, 2018 07:23 PM ET


Breed, London - 55,291 (35.68 %)

Leno, Mark - 40,165 (25.92 %)

Kim, Jane - 35,364 (22.82%)


I was reading 48hills' article by Tim Redmond on June 6, 2018 he wrote:

"As the wait continues, we can see some trends: Leno-Kim won in five of the 11 districts and numbers favor a Leno victory -- despite the Chron's (San Francisco Chronicle) bizarre editorial.

London Breed announced today that

not only did I get the majority of first-place votes, I basically won in about nine of 11 districts in this city. As we watch the results pour in, I think that sends a strong message.

Well, not exactly. Not even close. Not if you consider that the votes for Jane Kim were, overwhelmingly, votes against London Breed: More than 75 percent of her second-place votes went to Leno."


https://48hills.org/2018/06/as-the-wait-continues-we-can-see-some-trends/
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Mon Jun 11, 2018 2:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mission Local By Joe Eskenazi Update, June 10 at 4:10pm


"Devastatingly good numbers they are for London Breed; she has added a a shade under 1,100 votes to her lead and now has a 1,580-vote advantage over Mark Leno, 103,388 to 101,808.
That’s a 50.38 to 49.6 percent lead.

The Department of Elections crunched 17,642 votes today, meaning fewer than 10,000 vote-by-mail ballots remain to go along with some 14,000 provisional ballots."
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Mon Jun 11, 2018 6:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

This election is taking so long and my chart shows the Moon is VOC -- nothing will happen. However, as I understand that VOC won’t apply here because in this case, sooner or later, we will have a final result.

Both Venus (Leno) and Mars (Breed) are termed by Mercury. Mercury is combusting the Sun, although it is in Gemini which makes Mercury somewhat protected by combustion but still nobody is able to see Mercury which might be the case here. Somewhere I read that “Terms” describe the physical look of planets (pls. correct me if I’m wrong). Since in reality, San Franciscans are familiar with both candidates therefore in this case termed by Mercury might extend so that we can’t see the winner?

Election day on Tuesday, June 5: Early returns show London Breed was leading but by end of Wednesday, Mark Leno had a lead.

On Thursday, Mark Leno was still leading Breed but Leno’s 1,121-vote lead shrank to 255.

By Friday, The Department of Elections processed 184,765 votes were counted and 19,807 votes later, Leno had 83,667 votes (50.04 percent) to Breed’s 83,523 (49.96 percent).

Saturday, new numbers came up: Breed gain 94,771(50.13 percent) to Leno’s 94,273 (49.87 percent).

Sunday, Breed continued to lead with 50.38 to 49.6 percent.

So, now I started to think my prediction might be wrong. Overall news tells me it doesn’t seem that Mark Leno will win. The moon had a minor dignity in Aquarius so I didn’t think much back then but I wonder. . . perhaps translation of light here. The Moon collected the light from Mars and transferred to MC -- is this the case?

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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Tue Jun 12, 2018 3:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

Well, count still going on . . . Rolling Eyes


Tim Redmond writes on June 11, 2018, at https://48hills.org/2018/06/breeds-lead-grows-but-not-by-much/:

"Breed’s lead grows, but not by much. This latest survey adds just 21 votes to her lead with 17,000 still to count."

"That means the votes delivered late – the ballots that were cast at City Hall on Election Day or delivered to polling places or postmarked by June 5 – are slightly more positive for Mark Leno than the previous few days’ returns."


Update, 4:00 p.m., June 11 from the Department of Elections, quoted in https://48hills.org/2018/06/breeds-lead-grows-but-not-by-much/:

The Department continues to review more than 17,000 ballots for processing. This total includes approximately 3,000 vote-by-mail ballots and an estimated 14,000 provisional ballots.

The Department must still process approximately 3,000 vote-by-mail ballots with valid postmarks received from the post office before Friday, June 8. Additionally, the Department must re-tabulate any cards that required manual review after initial processing of vote-by-mail ballots.
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Thu Jun 14, 2018 12:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

I've just read the news that former state senator Mark Leno has conceded. Supervisor London Breed is the next mayor of San Francisco.

So this means she will be appointing a new supervisor to replace herself. Very interesting for me because she was my district supervisor when I woke up this morning.
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Tanit3333



Joined: 12 Jul 2017
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Posted: Fri Jun 15, 2018 11:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I didn't look at the chart but I am happy about the choice in new Mayor for SF. I only wish I still lived there now that someone more competent is in charge. Thumbs up
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2018 11:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

I wish I could share the same optimism as many San Franciscans here. The big business industries have been successfully buying the various elections in this city therefore I expect Breed to be not much different from the policy of late former mayor, Ed Lee.

Ed Lee and London Breed have been aligned with billionaire Ron Conway and real estate investor Thomas Coates over the past several years. Breed and Lee were not very helpful when it came to improving our ongoing problem of mass evictions in the city -- so many apartments were taken over by the big real estate developers and by AirB&B.

Since 2012 we had London as our district supervisor but ever increasing problems with homeless, property theft, evictions, etc. -- we are no exception when it comes to the overall unfortunate situation in the city. It is getting worse each year: On November 8, 2016, Breed won reelection for district 5 supervisor, 52% to 48% , defeating Dean Preston. Her opponent, was working to stop evictions in our district but Breed won courtesy of big real estate developers.

Here's a few examples from daily life of cars parked on the streets in my neighborhood: I've been noticing more and more broken glass on the sidewalks (it's at an all time high!) -- it's not surprising that so many cars have pleading signs saying "There's nothing valuable in the car, please don't break my car windows".

A month ago someone drilled a hole from underneath of the car which belongs to my upstairs neighbor and stole her gasoline. It turned out a block from us another resident had exactly the same experience. The misfortune was that both of them owned a minivan (more gasoline capacity). Yet, a different neighbor who doesn't own a large car, still managed to lose, not his gasoline but his car tire as someone jacked up his car and took the tire away. . . and this is one of the most expensive cities to live in in the US.


Anyway, I'm going back to Astrology reading:

Breed is represented by Mars in this chart as I placed her in 7th house. If the mayor is represented by the Moon and Cancer at MC, then past conjunction between the Moon and Mars shows Breed became acting Mayor immediately after the death of Ed Lee. Also separated aspect between the Sun (Mayor), PoF and Mars echo Breed's good fortune at the time.

But later, the Board of Supervisors selected Mark Farrell to serve as interim mayor until the special election could be held and my chart is erected a day before the result of the special election.

What's puzzling for me is the Moon will aspect to Venus (Breed's opponent) before Mars. The Moon and Venus will have trine with mixed mutual reception which I thought was a good sign for Mark Leno. However, I didn't take into account the fact that the Moon would aspect Saturn before Venus (on the night of the election).

I "suspect" Saturn here is representing Breed's rich campaign contributor, Ron Conway (Saturn rules Mars). If that is so, Retrograde Saturn in Capricorn has exact conjunction (to the minutes) with 4th house cusp. Thus Saturn retrograde in Capricorn and opposing Cancer MC (which is detriment, also Mars is fall there) -- I think the future seems not promising. This election is unfortunately ruled by the big businesses with interest in land deals and that's the end of the matter.

Although my partner and I own the current home we were evicted once and nearly evicted twice in the past. But our three friends weren't as lucky as we and they disappeared from the city -- therefore my interpretation might be one sided and if so, I am very interested to hear a different interpretation.

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Tanit3333



Joined: 12 Jul 2017
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Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

London Breed's own natal chart shows Venus in Cancer trine Jupiter. First and foremost, with any battle chart, I always check significators. I would give Breed the 1st house because Leno is a man and Mars in Aquarius fits his personality and appearance. Venus is in the 10th, showing her coming out on top. The chart emphasizes a woman winning. I don't think she is represented as corruptly as you imagine here, with Venus in a grand trine with Jupiter and Neptune. This would emphasize her wanting to improve quality of life for the less fortunate as well as deal with the mental health and drug problems in the city.

With Venus opposite Pluto in the 4th it is showing something about the real estate situation but I am not sure what to make of it. Thoughts? She might want to take on that challenge but finds it too difficult or it becomes some sort of backlash publicly for her.

Her natal chart suggests a fairly honorable and compassionate person but she may be too idealistic and promise more than she can accomplish. I don't have her time of birth to say for certain, though. If her detrimented Saturn is in her 10th, then it would suggest a fall from grace, or that her win could lead to her ruin, so it depends a lot on where that Saturn is in her chart. Additionally, Mars-Jupiter opposition CAN show misuse of resources in a natal chart, although it is common to have hard links between those two planets in natal charts of leaders because it adds determination and a forceful personality. With Sun in Leo as well, she may be selfish and extravagant more so than altruistic, but it is hard to say.
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2018 5:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

.

I hope you are right about Breed being fairly honorable; well, time will show.

Wikipedia gives Breed's birthdate as August 11, 1974 San Francisco, CA (I used noon chart); she does not have Venus trine Jupiter -- what is your info on her birthdate?

I placed Breed in 7th -- that was according to John Frawley on open election, P.252 "The Horary Textbook, revised edition". It was puzzling for me when Breed won the race since I associated Mark Leno as Venus in 10th. So reversing the position makes sense in this case. Interestingly, this brings T-square between her ascendant, MC and Saturn. So that goes back to my earlier question, if Saturn represents Ron Conway (and real estate developers) then it will be interesting to see how she will handle them (or as Tanit said "with Venus opposite Pluto in the 4th it is showing something about the real estate situation").


By the way, do you remember Art Agnos, former mayor of SF? I found an interesting article by him on 48hills and here are a few excerpts:

https://48hills.org/2018/06/opinion-how-big-should-sf-be-and-for-whom/

OPINION: "How big should SF be — and for whom? A former mayor has some advice for the next mayor -- and the people of the city"

“How big does SF want to be, and who do we want to build for and where?
The answer will determine where most people like us or their families will be able live here in the future.

You see, the mistakes we build today cannot easily be fixed by future generations.

How are the new homeowners in the Hunters Point Shipyard going to be assured they bought safe homes when we now learn toxic cleanup studies were falsified by corrupt contractors?
No matter what you think of it, how many more Salesforce buildings should we build to meet whose demand?
All too often these questions have been decided exclusively in favor of developer profits.

So these two projects. Forest City Pier 70 and the Giants Mission Rock have set a new standard for affordability and community benefits in this city because of a citizen initiative — not City Hall.
Sure, the capitalist critics said, that is easy to do on public land. but the private land deals don’t pencil out like that.
Not so fast. Just three years ago, Forest City, the same developer who broke new ground at Pier 70 on the waterfront, negotiated another totally private development deal with the Hearst Corporation known as the 5 M project at the Chronicle building on Mission Street.

That project will pencil out at 40% affordable housing in a private deal between two private companies enhanced by the advocacy of Supervisor Jane Kim.
We would not be talking about a housing crisis if we had continued to build on Mark Leno’s original legislation or Jane Kim’s advocacy to require 40% affordable housing.

So it is possible to get what we want if we have leadership in City Hall that recognizes and responds to the needs of our neighborhoods.

Our mayor must remember San Francisco neighborhoods by putting them in Room 200 where she sits.
I know that room.
You know who is always in that room?
It is the developer, the department head, the lobbyist, the business leader, the contributor, the planning director, the commissioner.

The mayor must insist that City Hall policy on inclusionary housing match what the neighborhoods have done on the waterfront — 40%.
The mayor must be strong enough to tell developers that if they don’t think they can make money with our newest standards, then step aside. Don’t do the project if you think you will lose money."


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Tanit3333



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Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

She has a wide orb between Venus and Jupiter but it still seems relevant, especially since it has mutual reception.

I have looked at the battle, games, etc. charts over the years before and the main thing most people agree on is that the significators need to describe the side. If you just arbitrarily give a person a planet it is less reliable. Frawley would more likely follow Lilly most of the time and Lilly had a tendency to choose a different house based on what the significators were saying.

If Leno was Venus in Cancer, I would expect him to be chubby and/or bald. Mars in Aquarius seems appropriate for a thin/lean man who is an openly gay candidate also.
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Part of Fortune



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Posted: Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tanit3333 wrote:
She has a wide orb between Venus and Jupiter but it still seems relevant, especially since it has mutual reception.

I have looked at the battle, games, etc. charts over the years before and the main thing most people agree on is that the significators need to describe the side. If you just arbitrarily give a person a planet it is less reliable. Frawley would more likely follow Lilly most of the time and Lilly had a tendency to choose a different house based on what the significators were saying.

If Leno was Venus in Cancer, I would expect him to be chubby and/or bald. Mars in Aquarius seems appropriate for a thin/lean man who is an openly gay candidate also.



Thank you! Very Happy -- Yes, he doesn't look like Venus in Cancer (I met them in person and Mark is very thin but London fits Venus in Cancer).

I also looked up their ascendants and you are right Libra at 6*37 is a Female and Aries at 6*37 is a Male.
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